Everything we have published — research notes, market observations and the occasional argument.
14 Jul 2026
The relationship most traders were taught has been unreliable for some time. A look at what else is setting the bid, and what that means for anyone sizing a position on the old assumption.
Market Note
8 min
28 Jun 2026
Two traders with identical entries and exits can produce opposite outcomes over a year. The difference is almost never the analysis.
Education
6 min
19 Jun 2026
A strategy that has only seen one volatility regime has not been tested; it has been described. On evaluation windows, overfitting, and the tests we run before anything goes live.
Research
10 min
30 May 2026
Injection and withdrawal seasons give gas more repeatable structure than most markets — and more ways to be badly wrong. How we frame the seasonal picture.
9 min
08 May 2026
Not prediction. Classification, regime detection and finding relationships nobody had time to look for. An honest account of what AI does and does not do on a trading desk.
11 min
22 Apr 2026
A losing trade taken correctly is not a mistake. A winning trade taken for the wrong reason is. How we run reviews, and why members see the losses too.
7 min