Research
What a backtest cannot tell you
A strategy that has only seen one volatility regime has not been tested; it has been described. On evaluation windows, overfitting, and the tests we run before anything goes live.
The full note is being prepared for publication. In the meantime, the summary above captures the argument — and we are happy to talk it through directly.
This note reflects the views of the author at the time of writing. It is not investment advice, nor a representation of HCO Trading Group’s positioning.